NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 23% in the last quarter. But in three years the returns have been great. In three years the stock price has launched 120% higher: a great result. After a run like that some may not be surprised to see prices moderate. Only time will tell if there is still too much optimism currently reflected in the share price.
Although NIO has shed US$534m from its market cap this week, let’s take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they’ve driven returns.
View our latest analysis for NIO
NIO isn’t currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. When a company doesn’t make profits, we’d generally expect to see good revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.
NIO’s revenue trended up 56% each year over three years. That’s well above most pre-profit companies. Along the way, the share price gained 30% per year, a solid pop by our standards. But it does seem like the market is paying attention to strong revenue growth. Nonetheless, we’d say NIO is still worth investigating – successful businesses can often keep growing for long periods.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
NIO is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think NIO will earn in the future (free analyst consensus estimates)
A Different Perspective
Over the last year, NIO shareholders took a loss of 45%. In contrast the market gained about 2.6%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Fortunately the longer term story is brighter, with total returns averaging about 30% per year over three years. Sometimes when a good quality long term winner has a weak period, it’s turns out to be an opportunity, but you really need to be sure that the quality is there. You might want to assess this data-rich visualization of its earnings, revenue and cash flow.
If you would prefer to check out another company — one with potentially superior financials — then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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