Will Weakness in BorgWarner Inc.’s (NYSE:BWA) Stock Prove Temporary Given Strong Fundamentals?

With its stock down 21% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard BorgWarner (NYSE:BWA). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Specifically, we decided to study BorgWarner’s ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder’s equity.

See our latest analysis for BorgWarner

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for BorgWarner is:

17% = US$1.0b ÷ US$6.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The ‘return’ refers to a company’s earnings over the last year. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders’ equity, the company generated $0.17 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company’s future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or “retain”, we are then able to evaluate a company’s future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

BorgWarner’s Earnings Growth And 17% ROE

To start with, BorgWarner’s ROE looks acceptable. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 14% the company’s ROE looks pretty remarkable. Probably as a result of this, BorgWarner was able to see a decent growth of 5.3% over the last five years.

We then compared BorgWarner’s net income growth with the industry and found that the company’s growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 7.2% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

past-earnings-growth

past-earnings-growth

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company’s expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Has the market priced in the future outlook for BWA? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is BorgWarner Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

In BorgWarner’s case, its respectable earnings growth can probably be explained by its low three-year median payout ratio of 21% (or a retention ratio of 79%), which suggests that the company is investing most of its profits to grow its business.

Besides, BorgWarner has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Existing analyst estimates suggest that the company’s future payout ratio is expected to drop to 11% over the next three years. Despite the lower expected payout ratio, the company’s ROE is not expected to change by much.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that BorgWarner’s performance has been quite good. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see a good amount of growth in its earnings. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the company’s future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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