Most readers would already be aware that Continental’s (ETR:CON) stock increased significantly by 14% over the past month. We wonder if and what role the company’s financials play in that price change as a company’s long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Continental’s ROE today.
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company’s shareholders.
The formula for return on equity is:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Continental is:
8.1% = €1.2b ÷ €15b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2025).
The ‘return’ is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each €1 of shareholders’ capital it has, the company made €0.08 in profit.
View our latest analysis for Continental
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or “retains”, and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don’t have the same features.
When you first look at it, Continental’s ROE doesn’t look that attractive. A quick further study shows that the company’s ROE doesn’t compare favorably to the industry average of 10% either. In spite of this, Continental was able to grow its net income considerably, at a rate of 54% in the last five years. So, there might be other aspects that are positively influencing the company’s earnings growth. Such as – high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.
As a next step, we compared Continental’s net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 36%.
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you’re wondering about Continental’s’s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.
Continental’s three-year median payout ratio is a pretty moderate 43%, meaning the company retains 57% of its income. So it seems that Continental is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees impressive growth in its earnings (discussed above) and pays a dividend that’s well covered.
Moreover, Continental is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Based on the latest analysts’ estimates, we found that the company’s future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 37%. Still, forecasts suggest that Continental’s future ROE will rise to 12% even though the the company’s payout ratio is not expected to change by much.
Overall, we feel that Continental certainly does have some positive factors to consider. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. Having said that, the company’s earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.