Assessing Acciona (BME:ANA)’s Valuation After Recent Subtle Moves

Acciona (BME:ANA) hasn’t been in the headlines for any dramatic events this week, but its slow and steady price movements might still spark some investor curiosity. With markets often reacting to even subtle shifts, it is fair to ask what these signals mean. Are we witnessing a recalibration of expectations, or is the quiet spell simply the calm before another surge?

Looking at the bigger picture, Acciona’s share price has seen a 37% gain over the past year, with strong momentum in the past 3 months. Still, trailing three-year returns remain slightly negative, reflecting a stock that has climbed a bumpy road. Recent annual reports show a dip in revenue and net income, reminding investors that growth comes with its risks, even for companies with long-term tailwinds.

With Acciona showing renewed momentum this year, is this a genuine window to buy at an attractive valuation, or has the market already captured any upside following recent shifts?

The most widely followed narrative views Acciona as slightly overvalued at current levels, with analysts setting a fair value below the prevailing market price. This perspective weighs the company’s expansion plans and future challenges in relation to its fundamentals and sector outlook.

ACCIONA’s infrastructure backlog reached an all-time high of €54 billion, providing a strong foundation for future revenue growth through large-scale projects and concession awards. This is expected to drive an increase in revenue and operating margins as projects come to fruition.

Curious how massive project backlogs, ambitious energy targets, and changing margins combine to shape Acciona’s fair value? There is more to this analyst narrative than meets the eye. Behind the number crunching are bold earnings assumptions and surprising future projections. Can Acciona’s next chapter justify its current premium status?

Result: Fair Value of €154.12 (OVERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.

However, persistent low renewable energy prices or unfavorable policy shifts could quickly undermine the currently optimistic analyst outlook for Acciona’s future earnings.

Find out about the key risks to this Acciona narrative.

While most analysts see Acciona as overvalued, our DCF model tells the opposite story and points to significant undervaluation. Why do two respected approaches land at dramatically different conclusions? Which side will prove right in the end?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

ANA Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2025
ANA Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2025

Stay updated when valuation signals shift by adding Acciona to your watchlist or portfolio. Alternatively, explore our screener to discover other companies that fit your criteria.

If you think these viewpoints do not capture the full story or prefer getting hands-on with the numbers, crafting your own analysis takes just minutes. Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Acciona research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include ANA.MC.

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