Musk is ‘gambling’ with nearly a third of Tesla’s value and should settle: Columbia law professor

Can Elon Musk fight the SEC and win? Experts debate
9 Hours Ago | 04:59

Tesla CEO Elon Musk is gambling not only with his job but with the electric auto maker's stock market value by not settling with the Securities and Exchange Commission, Columbia Law School professor John Coffee told CNBC on Friday.

“Mr. Musk is gambling with the shareholders' money. Probably 30 percent or more of the value of Tesla depends upon his presence as CEO,” Coffee said on CNBC's “Closing Bell.”

“I can't imagine a CEO doing anything more dangerous than rolling the dice with possibly as much as a third of the value of the company at stake,” he added.

Neither Musk nor Tesla were immediately available for comment.

Musk is being sued by the SEC for fraud, according to court documents filed Thursday, in relation to an Aug. 7 tweet in which Musk said he was considering taking Tesla private, adding: “Funding secured.”

The take-private idea was abandoned on Aug. 24.

Shares of Tesla closed down 13.9 percent Friday, their worst session since November 2013.

Tesla and the SEC were close to a no-guilt settlement, but Musk pulled out at the last minute, according to reporting by CNBC's Andrew Ross Sorkin.

Under the deal, Musk and Tesla would have had to pay a nominal fine and the CEO would not have had to admit any guilt, said CNBC's David Faber, citing sources. But those sources said Musk would have been barred from being chairman for two years and Tesla would have to appoint two new independent directors.

Many experts have said the settlement the SEC offered seems reasonable.

Coffee, who served as a member of an SEC advisory committee, agreed: “All it means is giving up the post as chairman; he's still in control.”

Coffee said the board needs to push Musk to accept it.

“They've sat on the sidelines as a passive bystander over the last six months, but they should be sitting down with Mr. Musk and telling him it's time for him to be mature and settle with the SEC,” Coffee added.

Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, a senior associate dean at the Yale School of Management, agreed Musk is “critical to the valuation” of the company. For the sake of Tesla, he urged the board to devise a plan to keep Musk there but rein him in.

Sonnenfeld called the board's decision to pass up the SEC's “generous” deal as “completely as self-destructive as Musk is.” He added, “What it tells us is this board, as a strategic plan, must be using the Jim Jones Jonestown suicide pact. They are drinking the Kool-Aid of the founder.”

If he were to give in and settle with the government, Musk would guarantee Tesla a stable future, said Coffee. If not, Musk is making a bet he's almost guaranteed to lose, he added.

“[Musk] is insisting on rolling the dice on whether he can beat the SEC in the Southern District of New York, where the SEC almost never loses,” Coffee said.

In a statement, the board said, “Tesla and the board of directors are fully confident in Elon, his integrity, and his leadership of the company, which has resulted in the most successful U.S. auto company in over a century. Our focus remains on the continued ramp of Model 3 production and delivering for our customers, shareholders and employees.”

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SEC charges Tesla CEO Elon Musk with fraud

Kiichiro Sato | AP
Tesla CEO and founder of the Boring Company Elon Musk.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk has been sued by the Securities and Exchange Commission for fraud, according to court documents filed Thursday. Sources close to the company told CNBC the company was also expecting to be sued, though Tesla was not named as a defendant in the complaint.

Shares of the automaker fell roughly 10 percent in extended trading Thursday.

The SEC complaint alleges that Musk issued “false and misleading” statements and failed to properly notify regulators of material company events. The SEC plans to hold a press conference at 5 pm E.T.

In August, Musk tweeted that he was considering taking Tesla private, adding “funding secured.” The tweet spurred a scandal-ridden fall for Tesla and sent the stock see-sawing for weeks.

Musk later explained that he had been in discussions with the Saudi Arabian sovereign wealth fund and felt confident the funding would come through at his proposed price of $420 per share.

The SEC, in its complaint, alleged:

Musk knew that he (1) had not agreed upon any terms for a going-private transaction with the Fund or any other funding source; (2) had no further substantive communications with representatives of the Fund beyond their 30 to 45 minute meeting on July 31; (3) had never discussed a going-private transaction at a share price of $420 with any potential funding source; (4) had not contacted any additional potential strategic investors to assess their interest in participating in a going-private transaction; (5) had not contacted existing Tesla shareholders to assess their interest in remaining invested in Tesla as a private company; (6) had not formally retained any legal or financial advisors to assist with a going-private transaction; (7) had not determined whether retail investors could remain invested in Tesla as a private company; (8) had not determined whether there were restrictions on illiquid holdings by Tesla's institutional investors; and (9) had not determined what regulatory approvals would be required or whether they could be satisfied.

Musk said in an interview with The New York Times that he calculated a take-private price of $420 by rounding $1 up from what would have been a 20 percent upside at the time.

“According to Musk, he calculated the $420 price per share based on a 20% premium over that day's closing share price because he thought 20% was a 'standard premium' in going-private transaction,” the SEC alleged in its suit. “This calculation resulted in a price of $419, and Musk stated that he rounded the price up to $420 because he had recently learned about the number's significance in marijuana culture and thought his girlfriend 'would find it funny, which admittedly is not a great reason to pick a price.'”

In the hours after the initial tweet, Musk doubled down on the proposal in subsequent tweets. The SEC cited those subsequent tweets in the complaint as additional misleading statements.

Musk also failed to properly notify regulators about his plans to take the company private, the complaint alleges.

Tesla's board of directors initially formed a special committee to evaluate the take-private proposal, but Musk ultimately called off the privatization plans on Aug. 24.

Tesla did not immediately respond to request for comment.

Read the lawsuit as filed in the Manhattan District Court below, and download the file here:

This is breaking news. Please check back for updates.

—CNBC's
David Faber
contributed to this report.

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