The auto cycle leaves plenty of room for Ford and GM to continue growing, analysts say

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There's still plenty of time in the auto cycle, and General Motors and Ford will continue to grow, Tigress Financial Partners CIO Ivan Feinseth said on CNBC Wednesday.

He told “Closing Bell” that at the trough of the auto cycle, the average age of a car is about 11 years old. At the peak, it is about 7 years old. This year, the average age of a car is about 10 years old.

“Auto sales, as far as an upgrade cycle or a necessity purchase cycle, have a long way to go,” Feinseth said.

“You also have people who buy new cars every three years because of the lease cycle, and also one of the biggest motivators of new car purchases is all of the infotainment and collision-avoidance features that are now available in new cars, so I think that the runway still has a ways to go for GM and Ford,” he added.

He said Ford has a lot of room to grow in the luxury market to compete with GM.

“Ford needs some redesign in a number of their vehicles and they need a bigger push in the luxury market,” Feinseth said, noting that Cadillac is the dominant American luxury car brand.

However, he thinks Ford is winning in pickup trucks and sports cars.

As for GM, it “has the best line-up it's ever had as far as vehicles in the company's history. They are led by one of the best CEOs in the company's history, so I think the wind is at their back,” Feinseth added.

Michael Ward, an auto analyst with Williams Research Partners, also thinks the auto cycle will go higher.

“In an environment where the unemployment rate is low, confidence is high, interest rates at an all-time low and income growing, you're not going to have lower car sales,” Ward said on “Power Lunch” Wednesday.

“You might be down 1 percent; that's because the industry is not goosing them up with incentives. I think you're probably going to see industry sales at 17 million units each in the next two or three years, and to me, that's what the market is missing,” he added. “That will enable companies like General Motors and Ford and the suppliers and dealers to generate record profitability.”

He also said electric cars will be key in growth.

“Electrified vehicles include hybrids,” Ward said. “That is where you're going to see the most growth because they can be in trucks, they can be in cars, they can be in every sized vehicle. Fully electric vehicles are still going to be a very small portion of the market, 1-2 percent at most in the next five to 10 years.”

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Tesla expects to invest up to $6 billion over next two years in factories and equipment

David Butow | Corbis | Getty Images
Workers assemble cars on the line at the Tesla's factory in Fremont, California.

Tesla expects to spend up to $6 billion on factories and equipment over the next two years as it ramps up production and develops new vehicles, the company said in a regulatory filing Friday.

The electric car maker said it expects to spend just under $2.5 billion in capital investments for 2018 and $2.5 billion to $3 billion annually over the next two years.

Tesla is also planning to build a factory in China, which it is calling Gigafactory 3, where it hopes to eventually produce 3,000 of its popular Model 3 sedans a week. The filing cautioned that the time frame on its production targets was “subject to a number of uncertainties, including regulatory approval, supply chain constraints, and the pace of bringing the factory online.”

Gigafactory 1 is the company's plant near Clark, Nevada, where it makes batteries and parts of the Model 3 drive train. Gigafactory 2 is its solar power plant in Buffalo, New York.

Tesla is planning to start producing Model 3s in Shanghai to reduce the impact of tariffs. Because Tesla currently exports all of its vehicles to China, it has been hurt by stiff tariffs, some of which result from the trade war between China and the U.S.

Shares of Tesla were flat Friday morning.

In the filing, the company also revealed that the Justice Department and SEC are investigating Model 3 production targets.

The company has been burning through cash as it ramps up production and deliveries of its Model 3 midsize sedan, and it has big plans for the years ahead. Tesla unveiled an electric semi-truck last year but has not said much since then about when and how the company will produce the vehicles.

It is also planning a crossover sport utility vehicle called the Model Y, and a second-generation version of the Tesla Roadster that CEO Elon Musk has said will be quicker and faster than any other car on the road. Musk has also talked about his desire to make a pickup truck.

It also is attempting to build a business in rooftop solar power systems. In 2016, Musk revealed a planned roof tile that could collect solar power, but the company has so far shipped only a few systems.

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