Fain slate predicts victory in UAW runoff election as Curry campaign calls foul

The slate endorsing Shawn Fain for president of the United Auto Workers predicted his victory late Thursday after tabulation of mailed-in ballots in the runoff election resumed following a 12-day hiatus with just a few hundred votes between him and incumbent Ray Curry.

Curry’s slate on Friday responded, calling on the union’s court-appointed monitor to delay further the runoff results and investigate numerous questions about the election, including whether his opponent’s campaign financing violated election rules and if one candidate for a region’s director was even eligible.

UAW presidential candidates Ray Curry, upper left, and Shawn Fain, lower right, participate in a virtual debate, January 12, 2023, moderated by former New York Times reporter Steven Greenhouse

Although counting began March 1, the UAW still doesn’t have final unofficial results for who will lead the Detroit-based union during a critical point in its history. It’s emerging from a years-long corruption scandal that entangled two of its former presidents. Meanwhile, the auto industry is plunging forward with its electric-vehicle transformation that could leave workers behind, and the quadrennial bargaining convention determining the priorities for labor negotiations with Detroit’s three automakers is a little more than a week away.

Marick Masters, a management professor and labor expert at Wayne State University, said the delay in determining the winner could have significant implications for the union, especially given the timing.

“They have things that operate on a clock to help them get ready for the upcoming negotiations with the Detroit Three,” he said. “So all those items on the agenda are pressing, and any delay makes it more difficult for whoever is going to be the president to make preparations for that and get ready for the negotiations, and also to set the agenda going forward for the next several years.”

The office of the UAW monitor, New York attorney Neil Barofsky, hasn’t provided updated vote counts since tabulation resumed. Unofficial results posted by the caucus backing Fain, Unite All Workers for Democracy, still have Fain ahead of Curry by 505 ballots, or 50.2% to 49.8%.

That’s a slight decrease from the 645-vote spread between Fain and Curry after the initial tabulation. The latest votes are from the 1,608 ballots that had been challenged over member eligibility. The monitor’s office and UAW took the hiatus since March 4 to verify whether the ballots came from members in good standing, as required by the election rules. It’s unclear how many were determined to be valid. The statement from UAWD and its UAW Members United slate suggested there are fewer than 600 challenged ballots left to count, “making Fain’s victory all but assured.”