@Ford: Ford+ Again Attracts New Customers, Drives Growth in Q3; Company Changing How it Works to Improve Quality, Costs

  • Third-quarter revenue rises 11% year-over-year to $44 billion; net income of $1.2 billion compares to a year-ago loss of $827 million; adjusted EBIT increases to $2.2 billion
  • Delighting Ford Pro commercial customers with leading vehicles and services produces higher revenue, significantly better EBIT and double-digit EBIT margin
  • Ford Blue again shows the strength and durable upside of its gas and hybrid vehicles, with higher revenue, EBIT and EBIT margin
  • Ford Model e reports 44% higher shipments of electric vehicles, 26% revenue growth; operating loss exacerbated by EV price pressure
  • Ford withdraws 2023 guidance with ratification of tentative U.S. labor agreement pending

DEARBORN, Mich., Oct. 26, 2023 – Ford’s third-quarter 2023 results illustrated how the company is beginning to fulfill the growth potential of the customer-focused Ford+ plan – and underscored the vital role of higher quality and lower costs in driving profitability.

“I’m very optimistic about the reality we’re creating with Ford+,” said President and CEO Jim Farley.  “We’re building a more dynamic, highly talented and customer-focused company at the intersection of great vehicles, iconic brands, innovative software and high-value services.

“We’re also radically changing how we work with a series of actions that put the right people with the right capabilities in the right places across the organization, so that our promise isn’t masked by cost and quality issues.”

Company Key Metrics Summary

Ford posted third-quarter U.S. sales gains across its gas, hybrid and electric vehicle lines; widened the lead of F-Series as America’s No. 1 truck, now well into the 47th straight year; and was the top-selling brand in the United States through the first nine months of 2023.

Company revenue in the quarter was $44 billion, up 11% from third-quarter 2022 on flat vehicle wholesales.  Net income of $1.2 billion reversed a year-ago net loss of $827 million.  The latter included a $2.7 billion non-cash, pretax impairment on Ford’s investment in Argo AI.  Adjusted earnings before interest and taxes, or EBIT, in Q3 increased to $2.2 billion.

Cash flow from operations was $4.6 billion in the quarter and $12.4 billion through the first nine months of the year.  Adjusted free cash flow for the same periods was $1.2 billion and $4.8 billion, respectively.

Ford’s balance sheet remains strong, with more than $29 billion in cash and $51 billion in liquidity at the end of Q3, providing important financial flexibility.  That included a $4 billion contingent liquidity facility that the company secured in August in anticipation of business uncertainties.

To attack quality and cost issues, Ford last week completed a sequence of organizational changes in support of Ford+, creating an end-to-end global industrial system under Kumar Galhotra, who was named chief operating officer.

The system – comprising vehicle engineering and cycle planning, gas and hybrid programs, supply chain management, and manufacturing – is expected to be an effective and efficient operational engine for all three auto business segments: Ford Blue, Ford Model e and Ford Pro.

Farley said that Galhotra’s organization together with Doug Field’s EVs, Digital and Design team “will support the businesses and their customers with great technologies and products, while raising quality, reducing costs and rooting out waste with a vengeance.”

Business Segment Highlights

Ford Pro helps commercial customers transform their operations with great gas, hybrid and electric vehicles and a growing array of value-added services.  In the third quarter, the business generated $1.7 billion in EBIT – a 12% margin – on $13.8 billion in revenue, which was up 16%.

Through the first three quarters of the year, Ford Pro gained nearly two points of share in the U.S. commercial truck and van market on the continued strength of its Super Duty truck and Transit van franchises.  In Europe, the company is launching an all-new version of the Transit Custom van, the company’s flagship business-related vehicle in the region.

Ford Pro’s software subscriptions and mobile repair orders both increased sharply.

Ford Blue, which markets a lineup of gas and hybrid vehicles Farley calls “the best I’ve seen,” delivered $1.7 billion in third-quarter EBIT – up 17% from last year.  The business was again profitable in every region where it operates, driven by a strong and fresh product portfolio.

Last month, Ford Blue revealed gas and hybrid versions of the 2024 F-150 pickup, which combines “Built Ford Tough” with power and smarts – the most connected and technologically capable F-150 yet.  Third-quarter sales of hybrid vehicles jumped more than 40%, led by F-150 and Maverick trucks.  F-150 hybrid volumes were up 47% from a year ago; hybrids now account for 57% of all Maverick trucks sold.

Ford Blue is rolling out new derivatives of its iconic nameplates, which are hugely popular with customers and generate superior revenue and margins.  They include the forthcoming Ranger Raptor pickup, Mustang GTD super-car and track variants, and new extensions of the Bronco and Maverick nameplates.

Third-quarter wholesales of Ford Model e’s first-generation electric vehicles increased 44% and revenue was up 26%.  The segment recorded an EBIT loss of $1.3 billion, attributable to continued investment in next-generation EVs and challenging market dynamics.

According to the company, many North America customers interested in buying EVs are unwilling to pay premiums for them over gas or hybrid vehicles, sharply compressing EV prices and profitability.  Partly in response, Ford this month introduced the F-150 Lightning Flash pickup, combining popular technology-based features in a competitively priced electric truck.

“Ford is able to balance production of gas, hybrid and electric vehicles to match the speed of EV adoption in a way that others can’t,” said CFO John Lawler.  “That’s obviously good for customers, who get the products they want – and good for us, too, because disciplined capital allocation and not chasing scale at all costs maximizes profitability and cash flow.”

All Ford customers will benefit over time from newly imagined, developed and delivered software-enabled services.  During the third quarter, total paid software subscriptions were up more than 50% year-over-year and are now approaching 600,000.

In August, the company announced that former Apple veteran Peter Stern would establish and lead Ford Integrated Services.  Stern’s team will market high-value services leveraging technologies such as the Ford BlueCruise advanced driver-assistance system – with which customers have now driven more than 125 million hands-free miles – and in areas like productivity, security, and next-generation buying and service experiences.

Quarterly earnings before taxes for Ford Credit were $358 million – down from a year ago, as expected, because of lower lease residuals and financing margin, along with a nonrecurrence of gains in derivative market valuations.

Full-Year 2023 Guidance Withdrawn Pending Ratification of Tentative U.S. Labor Agreement

Through the third quarter, Ford earned $9.4 billion in adjusted EBIT toward the full-year range of $11 billion to $12 billion it affirmed in late July.  Based on that and strong demand for Ford’s products, Lawler said that the company had been poised to deliver profitability within that range.  However, given effects of the UAW strike and with ratification of the tentative agreement with the union that was announced Wednesday night pending, Ford is withdrawing its guidance for full-year 2023 operating results.

Ford plans to report fourth-quarter and full-year 2023 financial results on Thursday, Feb. 1.

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Conference Call Details

Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) and Ford Motor Credit Company released their 2023 third-quarter financial results at 4:05 p.m. ET on Thursday, Oct. 26.  Following the release, at 5:00 p.m. ET, Jim Farley, Ford president and chief executive officer; John Lawler, Ford chief financial officer; and other members of the Ford senior leadership team will host a conference call to discuss the results in the context of the company’s ambitious Ford+ plan for growth and value creation.  The presentation and supporting materials will be available at shareholder.ford.com.  Representatives of the investment community will be able to ask questions on the call.

Ford Third-Quarter Earnings Call:  Thursday, Oct. 26, at 5:00 p.m. ET

Toll-Free:  844.282.4573

International:  +1.412.317.5617

Registration Link (option, speeds login):  Ford Earnings Call

Webcast:  shareholder.ford.com

Replay

Available after 8:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, Oct. 26, and through Thursday, Nov. 2

Webcast:  shareholder.ford.com

Toll-Free:  (U.S.) 877.344.7529

                 (Canada) 855.669.9658

International:  +1.412.317.0088

Conference ID:  2159350

The following applies to the information throughout this release:

  • See tables later in this release for the nature and amount of special items, and reconciliations of the non-GAAP financial measures designated as “adjusted” to the most comparable financial measures calculated in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”).
  • Wholesale unit and production volumes include Ford and Lincoln brand vehicles produced and sold by Ford or our unconsolidated affiliates and Jiangling Motors Corporation (“JMC”) brand vehicles produced and sold in China by our unconsolidated affiliate. Revenue does not include vehicles produced and sold by our unconsolidated affiliates. Wholesales and revenue exclude transactions between the Ford Blue, Ford Model e and Ford Pro business segments.  See materials supporting the October 26, 2023, conference call at shareholder.ford.com for further discussion of wholesale unit volumes.

Cautionary Note on Forward-Looking Statements

Statements included or incorporated by reference herein may constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.  Forward-looking statements are based on expectations, forecasts, and assumptions by our management and involve a number of risks, uncertainties, and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those stated, including, without limitation:

  • Ford and Ford Credit’s financial condition and results of operations have been and may continue to be adversely affected by public health issues, including epidemics or pandemics such as COVID-19;
  • Ford is highly dependent on its suppliers to deliver components in accordance with Ford’s production schedule and specifications, and a shortage of or inability to acquire key components, such as semiconductors, or raw materials, such as lithium, cobalt, nickel, graphite, and manganese, can disrupt Ford’s production of vehicles;
  • To facilitate access to the raw materials necessary for the production of electric vehicles, Ford has entered into, and expects to continue to enter into, multi-year commitments to raw material suppliers that subject Ford to risks associated with lower future demand for such materials as well as costs that fluctuate and are difficult to accurately forecast;
  • Ford’s long-term competitiveness depends on the successful execution of Ford+;
  • Ford’s vehicles could be affected by defects that result in delays in new model launches, recall campaigns, or increased warranty costs;
  • Ford may not realize the anticipated benefits of existing or pending strategic alliances, joint ventures, acquisitions, divestitures, restructurings, or new business strategies;
  • Operational systems, security systems, vehicles, and services could be affected by cyber incidents, ransomware attacks, and other disruptions and impact Ford and Ford Credit as well as their suppliers and dealers;
  • Ford’s production, as well as Ford’s suppliers’ production, and/or the ability to deliver products to consumers could be disrupted by labor issues, natural or man-made disasters, adverse effects of climate change, financial distress, production difficulties, capacity limitations, or other factors;
  • Ford’s ability to maintain a competitive cost structure could be affected by labor or other constraints;
  • Ford’s ability to attract and retain talented, diverse, and highly skilled employees is critical to its success and competitiveness;
  • Ford’s new and existing products and digital, software, and physical services are subject to market acceptance and face significant competition from existing and new entrants in the automotive and digital and software services industries and its reputation may be harmed if it is unable to achieve the initiatives it has announced;
  • Ford’s results are dependent on sales of larger, more profitable vehicles, particularly in the United States;
  • With a global footprint, Ford’s results could be adversely affected by economic or geopolitical developments, including protectionist trade policies such as tariffs, or other events;
  • Industry sales volume can be volatile and could decline if there is a financial crisis, recession, or significant geopolitical event;
  • Ford may face increased price competition or a reduction in demand for its products resulting from industry excess capacity, currency fluctuations, competitive actions, or other factors;
  • Inflationary pressure and fluctuations in commodity and energy prices, foreign currency exchange rates, interest rates, and market value of Ford or Ford Credit’s investments, including marketable securities, can have a significant effect on results;
  • Ford and Ford Credit’s access to debt, securitization, or derivative markets around the world at competitive rates or in sufficient amounts could be affected by credit rating downgrades, market volatility, market disruption, regulatory requirements, or other factors;
  • The impact of government incentives on Ford’s business could be significant, and Ford’s receipt of government incentives could be subject to reduction, termination, or clawback;
  • Ford Credit could experience higher-than-expected credit losses, lower-than-anticipated residual values, or higher-than-expected return volumes for leased vehicles;
  • Economic and demographic experience for pension and OPEB plans (e.g., discount rates or investment returns) could be worse than Ford has assumed;
  • Pension and other postretirement liabilities could adversely affect Ford’s liquidity and financial condition;
  • Ford and Ford Credit could experience unusual or significant litigation, governmental investigations, or adverse publicity arising out of alleged defects in products, services, perceived environmental impacts, or otherwise;
  • Ford may need to substantially modify its product plans and facilities to comply with safety, emissions, fuel economy, autonomous driving technology, environmental, and other regulations;
  • Ford and Ford Credit could be affected by the continued development of more stringent privacy, data use, and data protection laws and regulations as well as consumers’ heightened expectations to safeguard their personal information; and
  • Ford Credit could be subject to new or increased credit regulations, consumer protection regulations, or other regulations.

We cannot be certain that any expectation, forecast, or assumption made in preparing forward-looking statements will prove accurate, or that any projection will be realized.  It is to be expected that there may be differences between projected and actual results.  Our forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of their initial issuance, and we do not undertake any obligation to update or revise publicly any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.  For additional discussion, see “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022, as updated by our subsequent Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and Current Reports on Form 8-K.

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