Tesla shares could rise 30% next year on China demand, analyst says

 Tesla Inc. is in a strong position heading into 2022, with catalysts including robust Chinese demand and new factory openings in the U.S. and Germany, according to Wedbush Securities.

Shares in the electric-vehicle maker could gain nearly 30% over the next 12 months, analyst Daniel Ives wrote in a note for the Los Angeles-based investment firm. He expects component shortages to ease next year, allowing Tesla to better meet growing demand in China, while new factories in Texas and Berlin should alleviate global production bottlenecks.

A Tesla Model Y is displayed in a production hall of the Tesla Gigafactory in Germany.

“The linchpin to the overall bull thesis on Tesla remains China, which we estimate will represent 40% of deliveries for the EV maker in 2022,” Ives said, reiterating his outperform rating and $1,400 price target. 

In late-morning trading Tuesday, the stock was down 0.92% to $1,083.84, breaking a four-day rally. 

Tesla shares have had a stellar year, with a 55% gain through Monday’s close that propelled the company’s market value above $1 trillion. Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk has been offloading stock since November, and said on Twitter last week that he is “almost done” with a target of reducing his stake by 10%.