It’s getting harder to find those zero-percent financing deals on new cars

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A General Motors dealership in La Salle, Illinois.

With inventories in a more healthy place and nationwide interest rates ticking up, a report from Edmunds shows that zero-percent finance deals accounted for the smallest portion of July auto sales in over 10 years.

The report shows these deals accounted for just 6.92 percent of new car deals in July. That's a significant drop off from last year's 11.34 percent, or 11.18 percent 5 years ago, representing the lowest proportion of deals since 2005.

“It's definitely much less pervasive than it's been in the past,” Jeremy Acevedo, Edmunds' manager of industry analysis, told CNBC. “We're seeing levels that are a little more than half of what they were last July.”

Automakers have a good inventory mix of in-demand vehicles that don't require heavy incentives to sell, Acevedo said. You can still get zero-percent deals on less desirable vehicles — sedans in particular — but the automakers aren't as weighed down with previous-model-year vehicles this year.

Additionally, zero-percent finance deals are becoming a less cost-effective way for automakers to drive deals. General Motors, which popularized the concept with their post-9/11 “Keep America Rolling” zero-percent financing, has been less aggressive with the practice this year.

“That's partly a function of rising interest rates, which makes it a little more expensive,” GM spokesman Jim Cain said.

It's still pretty widely used in the industry, but GM likes to keep a mix of different incentives in the industry, he said.

“The way we try to approach things is to make sure we have competitive lease deals, especially in markets like the Northeast and California where leasing is really possible,” Cain said. “And we have a simple and compelling message that's easy for our dealers to advertise and cuts through the clutter.”

For people looking to buy rather than lease, Cain says the company is focusing on direct discounts that make sense to the customer. Rather than differing interest rates for different terms and buyers, it's easier to effectively market a 10 percent discount.

“It's clear and compelling,” Cain said. “It's familiar, because that's how other retailers typically have their sales promotions.”

And while it's been a major part of the summer sell down for all three major American automakers since 2005, Acevedo isn't optimistic that zero-percent financing offers will be commonplace in the future.

“It doesn't look like APRs are going down any time soon,” he said. According to the report, the average annual percentage rate, or APR, in July was 5.74 percent, compared with 4.77 percent a year ago. Overall, interest rates are near their nine-year high.

Some automakers —Subaru, Mazda, Cadillac, and Lincoln were the ones Acevedo specifically noted — are making more interest-free deals than others. But if automakers can offload their 2018 inventories without having to offer zero-interest loans, Acevedo expects that to signal the end of widespread availability of these loans.

That, combined with ever-increasing APRs and epic term lengths, means Americans will likely continue to spend a rising proportion of their car budgets on financing alone. To Acevedo, that may spell long-term trouble for the automotive market.

“It definitely, to us, signals some caution lights to be aware of what's happening ahead,” he said.

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Moody’s downgrades Ford’s credit rating to one notch above junk bond status

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Jim Hackett, president and chief executive officer of Ford Motor Co., center, speaks to members of the media at an event during the 2018 North American International Auto Show (NAIAS) in Detroit, Jan. 14, 2018.

Moody's downgraded Ford's credit rating to one notch above junk bond status Wednesday and warned that it could be further cut as the Detroit automaker struggles overseas and invests an estimated $11 billion on a turnaround plan.

The second largest U.S. auto manufacturer is facing weakening profit margins in North America, a retrenching business in China and losses in South America and Europe, at least some of which could continue to worsen, Moody's said in a research note.

The investments are necessary, but it will take several years before that translates to better performance, Moody's said.

“Success could be challenged by having to address the serious performance problems in multiple business units simultaneously,” Moody's said, adding that it was keeping a negative outlook on its credit rating “primarily based on the difficult changes the automaker will have to make.”

Moody's said the company's debt rating could be cut even further, to non-investment grade, by the middle of next year if it doesn't make “clear progress” on its turnaround plan.

Since CEO Jim Hackett took the reins in 2017, investors have at times shown impatience with what they have said is a lack of clarity on how Ford will improve its businesses and bolster its share price. At the same time Ford under Hackett has made some bold moves, such as choosing to all but stop making traditional passenger cars for the U.S. market.

China is a particular concern in the near-term, the report said. Ford has to retake lost market share while competing with a growing swarm of both Chinese automakers and other foreign firms.

Ford's plan to improve what Hackett has called its “operational fitness” could entail $11 billion in charges, including $7 billion in cash expenditures over the next 3-5 years. Moody's said Ford' decision to leave the North American car business as a positive for Ford's credit, since it reflects Ford's willingness to make aggressive and disciplined choices about where it puts capital, the report said. But it will take years to see the benefits of the plan.

“What we are looking for is very identifiable progress that the components of the company's restructuring and fitness plan are taking hold and yielding results,” said Bruce Clark, senior vice president of Moody's corporate finance group.

Despite Ford's challenges, it has a lot of strengths. Ford is competitive and profitable in North America, and the automaker's fitness plan is tackling areas where Ford is weakest. Ford has also chosen to rework its business while auto sales are still healthy.

“Since coming through the Great Recession, Ford Motor Company has delivered year after year of solid financial results and operating cash flows,” Ford said in a statement. “The company has a strong balance sheet, which provides financial flexibility. We know we can capitalize on our strengths, bolster underperforming products and regions and disposition where we cannot make an appropriate return.”