Auto stocks fell as much as 4.3 per cent on Tuesday after reports said India may slash tariffs on vehicles imported from the European Union (EU) as part of the India-Europe free trade agreement, raising fears of increased competition from European carmakers. Analysts said the decline was largely sentiment-driven, with limited impact seen in the near term as most Indian auto manufacturers operate in the mass-market segment, unlike EU players that cater largely to the ultra-premium segment.
Hyundai Motor India dropped 3.6 per cent, while Mahindra & Mahindra fell 4.3 per cent. Maruti Suzuki India declined 1.5 per cent, while Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles and Tube Investments of India ended over 1 per cent lower.
“The initial cut in tariffs is expected to be around 40 per cent and gradually phased out to 10 per cent over the years,” said Sagar Shetty, auto analyst at StoxBox. “M&M and Hyundai (shares) saw sharper declines as they could face relatively higher competition from European makers such as Renault and Volkswagen.”
Shetty said Tuesday’s fall was more of a knee-jerk reaction.
Volkswagen, BMW, Mercedes-Benz and Renault are expected to benefit, according to Reuters, as India plans to reduce duties on automobiles imported from the EU from 110 per cent to 10 per cent over five years, subject to an annual quota of 250,000 vehicles.
Mahindra & Mahindra derives a larger share of its passenger vehicle (PV) revenues from premium models, with top-end variants priced above ₹20 lakh (ex-showroom). Similarly, Hyundai’s Creta is the company’s best-selling model at this price point, which is why these stocks saw a sharper sentiment-led decline than others, said Shashank Kanodia, lead analyst for the auto sector at ICICI Direct.
The Nifty Auto Index fell as much as 2.2 per cent during the session but pared some losses to close 0.9 per cent lower.
Analysts said the market for European luxury brands such as Mercedes, Audi, BMW, Rolls-Royce and Aston Martin is vastly different from the affordable segments where most Indian OEMs operate.
“Its mostly the high-end luxury segment, which is very small in the Indian market, would be impacted,” said Narendra Solanki, head of fundamental research (investment services) at Anand Rathi Share and Stock Brokers. Indian manufacturers do not operate meaningfully in this segment, and a recovery in share prices is expected as the market adjusts once full details of the deal emerge, Solanki said.
