Lyft shares should only be worth $59 according to valuation guru

Mario Tama | Getty Images
Confetti falls as Lyft CEO Logan Green (C) rings the Nasdaq opening bell celebrating the company's initial public offering (IPO) on March 29, 2019 in Los Angeles, California.

When Lyft went public on March 29, it was valued at more than $20 billion, with shares priced at $72. Lyft shares have since declined and closed below the IPO price at $70.23 today, in part because of investors' worries over its nearly $1 billion in losses last year, and its high valuation.

The ride-hailing company should be trading closer to $59 per share, and valued closer to $15 billion, according to Aswath Damodaran, who teaches corporate finance and valuation at the Stern School of Business at New York University. That would imply about a 16% drop from today.

On CNBC's Fast Money, Damodaran explained there's fundamental problem with Lyft's business model that may have helped the company grow fast, but makes it hard for the company to make money:

“The driver is a free agent. The customer is a free agent. There is absolutely no stickiness in the business, and they know it. That's the basic problem I have with the ride-sharing business not just Lyft. What they have succeeded at is changing the way we use car service. I have Uber and Lyft on my phone and I never take a cab. What they haven't figured out is how to make me stay with them. I'm completely disloyal here. Same thing with drivers.”

At least Lyft is focused, and not committed to expensive, risky side projects like Uber, Damodaran noted.

Uber recently spent $3.1 billion to acquire Careem, a ride hailing business that serves passengers in the Middle East. Uber also spent money to set up a research and development division, Uber ATG, that is working on everything from self-driving car technology to air taxis.

By contrast, Lyft is primarily focused on maintaining and growing its marketshare in North America.

Damodaran said: “I'd take Lyft over Uber because Uber wants to be all things to all people. You'd think they'd learn from their mistakes. They tried in China and had to back out of China. I think being less ambitious in this business, until you figured out a business model, is better.”

Lyft's IPO kicked off a so-called “unicorn stampede,” or string of public market debuts expected this year from tech companies that have raised copious amounts of venture capital and are privately valued over $1 billion. Among those expected to go public later this year are Uber, which was privately valued at $72 billion last year; Pinterest, which is aiming to go public at a valuation of up to $9 billion; and Slack privately valued at $6.7 billion.

They should learn from Lyft's experience, and from predecessors like Snap, the business school professor suggested.

“You don't want to go up against Facebook and Google. Create a niche and be in it,” Damodaran said. “The mistake that Snap made, which Pinterest should not, is they thought they could be bigger than Facebook.”

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Nidec Completes Acquisition of DESCH Antriebstechnik GmbH & Co. KG and Its Group Companies

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Nidec Corporation

Tokyo Stock Exchange code: 6594

Contact:

Masahiro Nagayasu

General Manager

Investor Relations

+81-75-935-6140

ir@nidec.com

Released on March 4, 2019, in Kyoto, Japan

Nidec Completes Acquisition of DESCH Antriebstechnik GmbH & Co.
KG and Its Group Companies

Nidec Corporation (TSE: 6594; OTC US: NJDCY) (the “Company” or “Nidec”) today announced that the Company has completed the acquisition of 70% ownership of DESCH Antriebstechnik GmbH & Co. KG and its group companies (collectively “DESCH”), privately owned German companies from its owners (the “Transaction”) through Nidec-Shimpo GmbH, a Germany-based affiliate of Nidec’s subsidiary, Nidec-Shimpo Corporation.
The Transaction was performed in line with the acquisition plan announced on February 1, 2019. As a result of the Transaction, DESCH became consolidated subsidiaries of Nidec, as outlined below:

1. Outline of New Subsidiaries

(1) Company Name:

DESCH Antriebstechnik ..

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Nissan’s Ghosn says in a video that he’s innocent and a victim of a conspiracy

Issei Kato | Reuters
A video statement made by the former Nissan Motor chairman Carlos Ghosn is shown on a screen during a news conference by his lawyers at Foreign Correspondents' Club of Japan in Tokyo, Japan April 9, 2019.

Ousted Nissan Motor boss Carlos Ghosn said he was innocent of all the charges against him and was the victim of a conspiracy, according to a video recorded before his arrest last week and broadcast by his lawyers on Tuesday.

Prosecutors took the highly unusual step of re-arresting Ghosn last week on fresh allegations that he used company funds to enrich himself to the tune of $5 million. The once-feted executive had been out on $9 million bail for 30 days, during which he recorded the video screened by his lawyers on Tuesday.

In the video, shown to reporters in Tokyo, the former Nissan Motor Co chairman said he was the victim of selfish rivals bent on derailing a closer alliance between the Japanese automaker and French partner Renault SA.

Ghosn called out some individuals by name in the video but those references were removed due to legal concerns, his lead lawyer Junichiro Hironaka told reporters.

The video – together with Hironaka's comments alleging harsh treatment by Tokyo prosecutors against Ghosn and his wife, Carole – cast Ghosn as the victim of both internal rivals and the Japanese judicial system.

“This is a conspiracy … this is not about greed or dictatorship, this is about a plot, this about a conspiracy, this is about a backstabbing,” Ghosn said in the video.

He was wearing a dark jacket and a white shirt. His hands were folded in front of him as he looked into the camera and spoke in a clipped, matter-of-fact manner. His hair appeared to be greyer and his face thinner than before last year's arrest.

The conspiracy, he said, was borne out of fear that he would bring Nissan closer to its partner and top shareholder, Renault.

“There was fear that the next step of the alliance in terms of convergence and in terms of moving towards a merger, would in a certain way threaten some people or eventually threaten the autonomy of Nissan,” he said.

Physical, mental pressure

Hironaka told the briefing that prosecutors were acting in a “cruel way” and putting him under intense physical and mental pressure to get a confession.

Prosecutors were not immediately available for comment.

Hironaka has previously criticised the move by prosecutors to confiscate Ghosn's belongings, including his mobile phone and trial documents, along with the mobile phones and Lebanese passport of his wife, Carole, who was present when prosecutors entered their home early in the morning last Thursday.

The lawyer said on Tuesday that Ghosn's wife, who left Japan last week, did so out of concern for her own safety, adding she intended to protest the case to the French government.

However, France's finance minister said on Tuesday that political interventions might not be the best way to help Ghosn, raising some questions about how much pressure Paris was willing to put on Tokyo over the issue.

The case has rocked the global auto industry and also shone a harsh light on Japan's judicial system.

Under Japanese law, prosecutors are able to hold suspects for up to 22 days without charge and interrogate them without their lawyers present.

Such procedures have focused much attention in the West on Japan's judicial system, which critics sometimes refer to as “hostage justice”, because defendants who deny their charges are often not granted bail.

Ghosn has been charged with under-reporting his Nissan salary for a decade, and of temporarily transferring personal financial losses to Nissan's books. However, the new, $5 million allegation is potentially more serious, as it could show he used company funds for his own purposes.

On Monday, Nissan shareholders ousted him as a director, severing his last tie with the automaker he rescued from near-bankruptcy two decades ago.

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Carlos Ghosn says ‘backstabbing’ Nissan conspiring against him

Carlos Ghosn In video message ex-chairman says he is innocent and talks of fears for company’s future [embedded content] ‘This is a conspiracy,’ says Carlos Ghosn in his video message Carlos Ghosn has accused Nissan executives of conspiring to have him arrested over unfounded fears about his plans for the Japanese carmaker, and saying he… Continue reading Carlos Ghosn says ‘backstabbing’ Nissan conspiring against him

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